0x4a959d59dae1f02ff9054cef00d879660d8e3828
0x4a959d59dae1f02ff9054cef00d879660d8e3828
- Realised P&L
- $-3.65
- Volume
- $62.60
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $46.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 6? · Yes | 0.940 | 1.000 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
| XRP Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.950 | 1.000 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.950 | 1.000 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 6? · Yes | 0.950 | 1.000 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.960 | 1.000 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET · Up | 0.973 | 1.000 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.990 | 1.000 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.921 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 7? · No | 0.960 | 0.924 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.951 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.963Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16?
- +$0.20at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17?
- +$0.20at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17?
- +$0.20at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?
- +$0.18at 0.966Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 15:01 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:45 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:01 | Solana Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 12:15 | XRP Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 11:46 | XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.9732842794 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 11:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9599998771 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9539999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9626341984 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9594433693 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9529999485 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |