PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lalalaland

0x4a941320faf5998f456b8f049ed7713d3df1a136

Realised P&L
$-5.6k
Volume
$264.8k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$107.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0050.015$107.64+$73.54
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL? · No0.4330.000$0.00$43.39
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL? · No0.6200.000$0.00$62.17
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.2240.000$0.00$308.84
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.2100.000$0.00$841.55
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$35.57
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · No0.1930.000$0.00$94.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-03 15:21US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.21$137.37
03-30 11:54Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.004$2.00
03-30 11:51Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$13.91
03-30 01:38Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.004$3.38
03-29 18:55Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$26.90
10-20 11:53No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.1961469877$38.94
10-20 11:52Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?SELL0.015$7.56
10-20 11:52Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?SELL0.016$32.15
10-20 09:04Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.196$2.53
10-20 09:03No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.1913096464$55.73
10-20 09:02Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.178$11.04
10-20 06:38Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.237$47.40
10-20 06:37Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.2275904938$146.71
10-20 06:35Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?SELL0.0039133406$355.47
10-20 06:35Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?SELL0.0025536531$9.22