wtruffle
0x4a91ee3ef8d4257dac7b758eccf46950acb1983f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $484.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,324
- Open portfolio
- $42.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,324
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$832.01at 0.701Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 21?
- +$311.99at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET
- +$311.99at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9AM ET
- +$260.00at 0.480Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 7PM ET
- +$259.99at 0.480Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 9PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 08-02 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9748431373 | $49.72 |
| 07-31 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 07-31 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.38 | $6.08 |
| 07-31 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.37 | $0.25 |
| 07-31 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 07-31 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $102.90 |
| 07-28 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $23.52 |
| 07-28 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-28 07:25 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 07-28 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.8685 | $173.70 |
| 07-28 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9271736663 | $155.20 |
| 07-28 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9758737151 | $73.10 |
| 07-19 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.9695920686 | $90.46 |