PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wtruffle

0x4a91ee3ef8d4257dac7b758eccf46950acb1983f

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$484.1k
Markets traded
2,324
Open portfolio
$42.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,324
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.8500.972$38.86+$4.86
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8500.700$3.50$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 4? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on May 3? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 6? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.90
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27? · No0.9600.000$0.00$340.99
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24? · No0.8390.000$0.00$83.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 3? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 3? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Francisco Giants0.4500.000$0.00$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.9$90.00
08-02 23:13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.9748431373$49.72
07-31 12:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1?BUY0.1$6.00
07-31 12:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1?BUY0.39$39.00
07-31 12:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1?BUY0.38$6.08
07-31 12:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1?BUY0.37$0.25
07-31 12:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1?BUY0.32$32.00
07-31 12:07Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 2?BUY0.98$102.90
07-28 07:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29?BUY0.98$23.52
07-28 07:33Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 28?BUY0.91$182.00
07-28 07:25Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?BUY0.85$34.00
07-28 07:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?BUY0.8685$173.70
07-28 07:21Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 29?BUY0.9271736663$155.20
07-28 07:21Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29?BUY0.9758737151$73.10
07-19 00:38Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 20?BUY0.9695920686$90.46