PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pgvr

0x4a90823173f48efae606ac04de6bc791f238ac07

Realised P&L
$-95.72
Volume
$133.2k
Markets traded
2,625
Open portfolio
$106.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,625
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14? · No0.8000.835$16.70+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14? · No0.6900.705$14.10+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14? · No0.6400.550$11.00−$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14? · No0.5600.480$9.60−$1.60
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 13? · Yes0.2330.150$9.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14? · Yes0.3670.235$6.60−$3.70
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14? · No0.6200.645$6.45+$0.25
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 13? · Yes0.2800.285$5.70+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 13? · Yes0.3400.445$4.65+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14? · No0.7000.755$3.77+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.6500.665$3.33+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13? · No0.6200.665$3.33+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 14? · Yes0.3900.445$3.17+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 14? · Yes0.0800.125$2.50+$0.90
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 13? · Yes0.2100.125$2.50−$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 08:49Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 13?SELL0.001$0.06
10-12 08:49Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?SELL0.3$0.51
10-12 08:48Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on October 14?SELL0.002$0.04
10-12 08:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13?SELL0.33$0.83
10-12 08:48Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13?SELL0.14$0.56
10-12 08:48Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?SELL0.12$0.85
10-12 08:48Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 13?SELL0.51$1.35
10-12 08:47Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12?SELL0.41$2.05
10-12 08:47Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 13?SELL0.47228$2.36
10-12 08:47Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 13?SELL0.01215$0.49
10-12 08:47Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 13?SELL0.1325$2.65
10-12 08:42Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 13?SELL0.465$4.65
10-12 08:42Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?SELL0.2425$4.85
10-12 08:42Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?SELL0.7455555556$6.71
10-12 08:42Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?SELL0.17$6.83