pgvr
0x4a90823173f48efae606ac04de6bc791f238ac07
- Realised P&L
- $-95.72
- Volume
- $133.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,625
- Open portfolio
- $106.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,625
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.84at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$367.50at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11PM ET
- +$225.70at 0.146Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$171.88at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$168.00at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 08:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-12 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.51 |
| 10-12 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on October 14? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-12 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.83 |
| 10-12 08:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.56 |
| 10-12 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.85 |
| 10-12 08:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.35 |
| 10-12 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-12 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 13? | SELL | 0.47228 | $2.36 |
| 10-12 08:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.01215 | $0.49 |
| 10-12 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.1325 | $2.65 |
| 10-12 08:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.465 | $4.65 |
| 10-12 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.2425 | $4.85 |
| 10-12 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.7455555556 | $6.71 |
| 10-12 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.83 |