0x4a84a5e9b540b8801991c66d8f4df03148a34406
- Realised P&L
- $-35.37
- Volume
- $70.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,315
- Open portfolio
- $75.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,315
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson · Luca Van Assche | 0.510 | 0.500 | $39.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.979 | 0.981 | $15.02 | +$0.02 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils · Arthur Fils | 0.815 | 0.500 | $7.28 | −$4.59 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.175 | $5.71 | −$9.29 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.700 | $4.17 | −$0.24 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions · KT Wiz | 0.530 | 0.744 | $2.19 | +$0.63 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears | 0.530 | 0.525 | $1.49 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.84at 0.121Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
- +$176.42at 0.088Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
- +$137.15at 0.313Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$103.92at 0.461Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
- +$86.69at 0.086New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 07:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999957 | $8.22 |
| 06-30 01:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.993 | $7.52 |
| 06-22 21:13 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.3399999328 | $2.53 |
| 06-22 20:58 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 20:57 | Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.809999939 | $1.86 |
| 06-22 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5399998353 | $1.18 |
| 06-22 19:33 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4099999649 | $3.27 |
| 06-22 19:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.01 |
| 06-22 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 19:23 | Targu Mures: Luca Castelnuovo vs Franco Agamenone | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998335 | $1.20 |
| 06-22 18:25 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9719999977 | $1.67 |
| 06-22 18:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999783 | $1.15 |
| 06-22 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998859 | $1.38 |
| 06-22 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999779 | $1.47 |