PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4a8371aCDa4419c79FF29E685B5F6C35708C95C3-1777088676284

0x4a8371acda4419c79ff29e685b5f6c35708c95c3

Realised P&L
$-12.22
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$23.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.6901.000$14.49+$4.49
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.4700.440$9.36$0.64
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
First Blood in Game 1? · BNK FEARX0.5110.000$0.00$1.07
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner · HANJIN BRION0.3770.000$0.00$1.68
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner · HANJIN BRION0.3670.000$0.00$1.79
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$1.09
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · Nongshim Red Force0.3330.000$0.00$14.18
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:08Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.4699999915$10.00
07-21 06:47Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.6899999393$10.00
05-15 08:16Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.006999993$1.00
05-15 08:13Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.0039085784$1.00
05-15 08:13Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.0045764077$1.00
05-15 08:13Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.006999993$1.00
05-15 08:12Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.01$1.00
04-26 10:47LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.0699999363$0.94
04-26 09:31LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.1699999759$4.75
04-26 09:12LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.7499998875$4.92
04-26 09:10LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2SELL0.27$11.30
04-26 08:31LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.1199998992$0.95
04-26 08:00Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4499997975$0.97
04-26 07:51First Blood in Game 1?BUY0.4699998778$0.97
04-26 07:51LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.2899999846$9.57