PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jackedups

0x4a81cac2fe9d05c50ca416ccec1c7137dc8312e1

Realised P&L
$503.61
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4070.403$1.5k−$15.44
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8600.860$421.22+$0.00
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8100.780$99.77−$3.84
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6700.640$51.20−$2.40
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8300.815$40.75−$0.75
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8830.905$40.04+$0.96
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8300.790$28.55−$1.45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6000.635$26.04+$1.44
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 · Over0.6200.610$24.40−$0.40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.3900.345$22.08−$2.88
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7600.760$20.00+$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8900.885$19.89−$0.11
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6400.645$19.35+$0.15
French election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.936$18.72−$0.20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5600.575$17.25+$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:03Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.406$92.72
11-01 02:14FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.64$19.20
11-01 02:12Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?SELL0.9$8.14
11-01 02:11Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?SELL0.93$33.48
11-01 02:09Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.94$9.40
11-01 02:07Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?SELL0.947$10.68
11-01 02:07Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.93$12.69
11-01 02:06Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.934$18.68
11-01 02:06Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?SELL0.71$21.30
11-01 02:02Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.406$39.79
10-30 07:47Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.408$140.76
10-30 07:46Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.86$140.40
10-30 07:44Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.403$1.1k
10-30 07:43Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.87$1.1k
10-29 19:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4269999954$30.00