jackedups
0x4a81cac2fe9d05c50ca416ccec1c7137dc8312e1
- Realised P&L
- $503.61
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.51at 0.720Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
- +$71.21at 0.162Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.39at 0.135Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.90at 0.759Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$27.00at 0.460Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:03 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.406 | $92.72 |
| 11-01 02:14 | FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 11-01 02:12 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $8.14 |
| 11-01 02:11 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $33.48 |
| 11-01 02:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 11-01 02:07 | Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.947 | $10.68 |
| 11-01 02:07 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $12.69 |
| 11-01 02:06 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.934 | $18.68 |
| 11-01 02:06 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 11-01 02:02 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.406 | $39.79 |
| 10-30 07:47 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.408 | $140.76 |
| 10-30 07:46 | Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $140.40 |
| 10-30 07:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.403 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 07:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.1k |
| 10-29 19:27 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4269999954 | $30.00 |