TargetXDead
0x4a7f0030f3edab82f188106a43f7b9d1a899617d
- Realised P&L
- $-25.36
- Volume
- $743.47
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $70.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.544 | 0.565 | $47.96 | +$1.82 |
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.395 | $22.79 | +$7.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.88at 0.350Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$2.02at 0.550Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?
- +$1.37at 0.590Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 79?
- +$0.96at 0.510Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
- +$0.38at 0.680Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 05:21 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.5631704211 | $26.14 |
| 09-30 09:46 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.2599999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 09:46 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 08-10 15:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $26.00 |
| 07-29 10:32 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.50 |
| 04-15 13:50 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.5099998624 | $1.52 |
| 04-15 13:46 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.52 |
| 01-20 13:25 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998568 | $1.14 |
| 01-17 08:14 | Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31? | SELL | 0.0497745098 | $1.02 |
| 01-17 08:14 | Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026) | SELL | 0.0037826871 | $0.13 |
| 01-14 07:03 | Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026) | BUY | 0.4274090853 | $14.22 |
| 01-10 05:42 | Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 06:43 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 06:34 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.35 |
| 05-30 05:13 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.1549999701 | $3.92 |