PolyBot

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Traders

0x4a7d937f7c12d7c31e23c2e154563d50b010e363

0x4a7d937f7c12d7c31e23c2e154563d50b010e363

Realised P&L
$-142.26
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$8.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.6401.000$7.59+$2.73
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0120.006$0.60$0.50
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.10
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$1.91
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.37
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.88
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.93
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$4.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on July 12? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$1.11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.85
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$4.80
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.82
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$1.17
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 1? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:36Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0120000002$1.10
07-21 17:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 24?BUY0.0073333333$1.10
07-19 13:15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2674999681$4.71
07-18 21:28Will England win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.65$5.07
07-18 21:17Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2399999159$1.94
07-17 18:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999586$3.91
07-17 18:21Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.25$1.95
07-16 19:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 20?BUY0.0079255964$1.96
07-16 19:58Will Solana reach $100 in July?BUY0.0410000009$1.96
07-16 19:57Will Solana reach $90 in July?BUY0.1109433501$1.96
07-15 21:30Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?BUY0.0179999911$1.96
07-15 21:28Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?BUY0.013$1.95
07-15 21:09Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?BUY0.0140000002$1.08
07-15 20:38Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0774999653$1.96
07-15 11:02Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 16?BUY0.002$1.39