0x4a7d937f7c12d7c31e23c2e154563d50b010e363
0x4a7d937f7c12d7c31e23c2e154563d50b010e363
- Realised P&L
- $-142.26
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $8.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.24at 0.081Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$19.91at 0.072Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$19.41at 0.337Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$17.18at 0.417Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$16.59at 0.154Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:36 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.10 |
| 07-21 17:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.0073333333 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 13:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999681 | $4.71 |
| 07-18 21:28 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.07 |
| 07-18 21:17 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999159 | $1.94 |
| 07-17 18:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999586 | $3.91 |
| 07-17 18:21 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.95 |
| 07-16 19:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.0079255964 | $1.96 |
| 07-16 19:58 | Will Solana reach $100 in July? | BUY | 0.0410000009 | $1.96 |
| 07-16 19:57 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.1109433501 | $1.96 |
| 07-15 21:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.0179999911 | $1.96 |
| 07-15 21:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.95 |
| 07-15 21:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0140000002 | $1.08 |
| 07-15 20:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0774999653 | $1.96 |
| 07-15 11:02 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.39 |