PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kakaainoo

0x4a793f02fe7fdb293c6bfe8418fdb09c6733b31e

Realised P&L
$157.93
Volume
$47.4k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$67.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2020.150$51.25$17.75
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1400.040$13.54$34.46
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.1000.025$1.48$4.32
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.4600.045$0.90$8.30
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.68
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$159.50
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$220.40
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$4.50
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$115.20
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.26
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$264.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 05:40Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
08-21 07:23Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.11$0.25
08-21 06:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.032$1.60
08-15 12:53Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.31$6.20
08-15 11:17Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.05$1.00
08-10 10:24Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager?SELL0.38$7.60
08-10 10:21Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?SELL0.25$1.67
08-10 10:12Will Kai or Speed die to an enderman?SELL0.753$15.06
08-10 09:15Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager?SELL0.39$7.80
08-10 08:44Will Trump say "Honor" during Tele-Rally?SELL0.51$5.10
08-08 14:48Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2099999902$14.00
08-08 14:47Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?BUY0.2$55.00
08-03 08:43Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.42245$8.45
08-03 08:17Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.539$3.50
08-03 07:54Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.556$11.12