kakaainoo
0x4a793f02fe7fdb293c6bfe8418fdb09c6733b31e
- Realised P&L
- $157.93
- Volume
- $47.4k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $67.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.41at 0.256Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$338.02at 0.480Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$320.51at 0.417Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$297.14at 0.587Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$283.17at 0.577Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 05:40 | Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-21 07:23 | Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.25 |
| 08-21 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.032 | $1.60 |
| 08-15 12:53 | Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-15 11:17 | Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 10:24 | Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-10 10:21 | Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.67 |
| 08-10 10:12 | Will Kai or Speed die to an enderman? | SELL | 0.753 | $15.06 |
| 08-10 09:15 | Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-10 08:44 | Will Trump say "Honor" during Tele-Rally? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-08 14:48 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999902 | $14.00 |
| 08-08 14:47 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $55.00 |
| 08-03 08:43 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.42245 | $8.45 |
| 08-03 08:17 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.539 | $3.50 |
| 08-03 07:54 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.556 | $11.12 |