C3V4BF3
0x4a6e23b3f4c84ce1bb44ee2e6be41590ea2310fb
- Realised P&L
- $-65.87
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $30.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $30.00 | −$70.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.974Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?
- +$0.72at 0.976Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$0.20at 0.995Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$0.12at 0.997Brevis FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$0.11at 0.999Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:37 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $23.44 |
| 02-24 03:36 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.988 | $22.95 |
| 01-14 01:56 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $109.65 |
| 01-08 01:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $29.48 |
| 01-08 01:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.00 |
| 01-07 05:49 | Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9949999981 | $39.28 |
| 01-07 05:49 | Brevis FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.997 | $39.88 |
| 01-07 05:48 | Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.976 | $29.28 |
| 12-08 07:17 | Will Solana reach $580 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $108.34 |
| 12-01 05:31 | Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1? | BUY | 0.9735480745 | $103.00 |