secondlif
0x4a6b0801ee9acb5421d39a87590c587f6259345d
- Realised P&L
- $-164.64
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $73.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.23at 0.260Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$141.11at 0.381Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on December 30?
- +$137.62at 0.051Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
- +$88.83at 0.643Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$75.06at 0.730MFK Karviná vs. FC Slovan Liberec: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-16 00:40 | Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.24 | $102.47 |
| 03-05 04:53 | Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.26 | $92.49 |
| 02-21 00:19 | Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.31 |
| 02-20 23:45 | Will Peter Mullan win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.61 |
| 02-20 21:44 | Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.051 | $7.40 |
| 02-18 17:17 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $7.00? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.26 |
| 02-18 03:51 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $210? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.84 |
| 02-16 09:42 | Will Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.97 |
| 02-15 23:50 | Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 17? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.34 |
| 02-14 07:01 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 17? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.28 |
| 02-13 04:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999979 | $190.95 |
| 02-12 19:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 15? | BUY | 0.11 | $19.88 |
| 02-12 01:07 | Will Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.12 |
| 02-11 21:56 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.27 |
| 02-11 07:43 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-02-14? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.08 |