jyku4trhtj6u5
0x4a699b3db953be44f2599499a89191c5d8dfd2de
- Realised P&L
- $-20.52
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $323.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.962 | $124.03 | +$0.84 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $65.33 | +$0.00 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $28.78 | +$0.17 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $28.78 | +$0.17 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $28.77 | +$0.16 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $28.77 | +$0.16 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $18.82 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.00at 0.974Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$12.79at 0.937GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
- +$11.54at 0.931Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$8.84at 0.985Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$8.47at 0.949Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 23:45 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 10-09 23:44 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 10-09 23:44 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $18.71 |
| 10-09 23:44 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 10-09 23:43 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 10-09 23:42 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $65.33 |
| 10-09 10:47 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $123.19 |
| 09-03 10:38 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $212.85 |
| 09-03 08:52 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $110.66 |
| 08-22 07:42 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $151.24 |
| 08-22 07:40 | Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $168.98 |
| 08-17 23:52 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $308.69 |
| 08-14 07:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $218.78 |
| 08-14 07:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-10 04:23 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 13? | BUY | 0.9985686177 | $125.00 |