PolyBot

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Traders

0x4a67705e1a768d52fe2fb090f198f1ab6d66adf8

0x4a67705e1a768d52fe2fb090f198f1ab6d66adf8

Realised P&L
$39.25
Volume
$436.66
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$1.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winner · Sinners0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00−$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.5399998892$1.95
10-14 07:19Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5SELL0.45$1.87
10-14 07:03Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5BUY0.47$1.96
10-14 06:56Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5BUY0.54$1.96
10-14 06:55Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5BUY0.5499999295$1.95
10-14 05:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.3399999894$1.92
10-14 05:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY0.2399999899$1.90
10-11 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.6999998205$1.95
10-07 11:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.539999986$10.00
10-07 11:12Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.539999986$10.00
10-07 11:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.269999993$10.00
10-07 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.339999985$5.00
10-07 05:17Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.2738476337$28.47
10-01 03:48Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2885572118$30.00
10-01 03:37Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.722$34.25