0x4a67705e1a768d52fe2fb090f198f1ab6d66adf8
0x4a67705e1a768d52fe2fb090f198f1ab6d66adf8
- Realised P&L
- $39.25
- Volume
- $436.66
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winner · Sinners | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Down | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.72at 0.087Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$9.47at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$8.20at 0.557Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$8.20at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$5.92at 0.253Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5399998892 | $1.95 |
| 10-14 07:19 | Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 | SELL | 0.45 | $1.87 |
| 10-14 07:03 | Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $1.96 |
| 10-14 06:56 | Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1.96 |
| 10-14 06:55 | Nets vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.5499999295 | $1.95 |
| 10-14 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999894 | $1.92 |
| 10-14 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999899 | $1.90 |
| 10-11 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6999998205 | $1.95 |
| 10-07 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 11:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 05:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.2738476337 | $28.47 |
| 10-01 03:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2885572118 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 03:37 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.722 | $34.25 |