PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4A63860a20467609b184958ec9b5B8529DE9448c-1731592143566

0x4a63860a20467609b184958ec9b5b8529de9448c

Realised P&L
$-27.03
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$4.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka · England0.8900.635$3.21$1.29
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys Astana · HC Dynamo Moscow0.7100.705$1.29$0.01
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.50
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-20? · No0.5300.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets0.7700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$1.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Up0.8560.000$0.00$3.00
Solana Up or Down - November 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$1.00
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4700.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 09:08Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri LankaBUY0.8899999842$4.50
09-22 08:58KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. CSKA MoscowSELL0.98$3.64
09-21 20:11KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys AstanaBUY0.7099999672$1.30
09-21 20:08KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lada TogliattiSELL0.961$2.43
09-21 07:28KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lada TogliattiBUY0.75$1.90
09-21 06:53KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. CSKA MoscowBUY0.6999999462$2.60
09-21 06:51Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.996$4.67
09-21 06:46Singapore Open: Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao HibinoBUY0.6189998849$1.70
09-21 06:26Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?SELL0.18$1.77
09-18 22:33Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8199999915$3.85
09-18 22:31Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.6099999736$6.00
06-25 13:14Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.8209996461$1.48
06-24 13:02Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?BUY0.8399999727$1.23
06-24 12:57Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.6$1.00
06-23 12:38Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.86$1.90