PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4A5B9f0d75328410F6d29b7D189e9009c5c7d055-1730855707969

0x4a5b9f0d75328410f6d29b7d189e9009c5c7d055

Realised P&L
$-636.58
Volume
$21.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7250.956$1.2k+$300.54
Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$34.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$200.00
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicano · Moicano0.5200.000$0.00$67.59
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico · Pico 0.5700.000$0.00$57.00
Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5840.000$0.00$128.40
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$80.00
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$259.00
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.8100.000$0.00$502.20
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5000.000$0.00$25.00
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$15.75
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$50.00
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$30.00
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$168.00
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 02:49Will the fight be won by submission?BUY0.34$34.00
08-16 02:46UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.65$45.50
08-16 02:43Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?BUY0.15$15.75
06-28 18:07Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
06-28 18:01Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
06-28 17:54Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.051999999$50.00
06-28 17:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2299999992$200.00
06-06 17:36Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.37$259.00
06-06 17:31UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.51$204.00
05-01 22:53Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7243117563$858.24
04-28 22:29UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.81$502.20
04-28 22:27Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.9749999996$500.00
04-02 02:06Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.87617404$300.00
04-01 00:27Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.8446541837$300.00
04-01 00:27Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?SELL0.7005996$350.30