0x4A5B9f0d75328410F6d29b7D189e9009c5c7d055-1730855707969
0x4a5b9f0d75328410f6d29b7d189e9009c5c7d055
- Realised P&L
- $-636.58
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$367.00at 0.266Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$220.00at 0.590Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$193.00at 0.517UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$149.06at 0.730Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
- +$110.40at 0.909Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 02:49 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 08-16 02:46 | UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.65 | $45.50 |
| 08-16 02:43 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.75 |
| 06-28 18:07 | Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 18:01 | Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 06-28 17:54 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.051999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-28 17:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999992 | $200.00 |
| 06-06 17:36 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.37 | $259.00 |
| 06-06 17:31 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $204.00 |
| 05-01 22:53 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7243117563 | $858.24 |
| 04-28 22:29 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.81 | $502.20 |
| 04-28 22:27 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.9749999996 | $500.00 |
| 04-02 02:06 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.87617404 | $300.00 |
| 04-01 00:27 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.8446541837 | $300.00 |
| 04-01 00:27 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7005996 | $350.30 |