joebotty
0x4a55bb99cfd03cacff0a2107ab39f5eabf75363d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.20
- Volume
- $98.66
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $7.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.80at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$1.52at 0.857Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$1.27at 0.827Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$0.47at 0.895Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$0.24at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:50 | Laver Cup: Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:48 | Laver Cup: Casper Ruud vs Francisco Cerundolo | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 22:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $1.10 |
| 09-24 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.5142403436 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-27 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-26 19:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |