PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

joebotty

0x4a55bb99cfd03cacff0a2107ab39f5eabf75363d

Realised P&L
$-1.20
Volume
$98.66
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$7.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Laver Cup: Casper Ruud vs Francisco Cerundolo · Casper Ruud0.5400.505$1.87−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26? · Yes0.5400.550$1.02+$0.02
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.4300.430$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 26? · Yes0.6900.680$0.99−$0.01
Laver Cup: Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima · Brandon Nakashima0.4600.445$0.97−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 25? · Yes0.5700.505$0.89−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25? · Yes0.5140.350$0.68−$0.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$1.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-24 22:55Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-24 22:50Laver Cup: Jakub Mensik vs Brandon NakashimaBUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-24 22:48Laver Cup: Casper Ruud vs Francisco CerundoloBUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-24 22:45Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-24 22:43Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 26?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-24 12:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.91$1.10
09-24 12:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-24 12:44Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25?BUY0.5142403436$1.00
09-24 12:43Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 25?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
07-27 00:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSELL0.5$2.50
07-27 00:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.51$2.55
07-26 19:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.8$1.00
07-24 00:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.5599999664$2.00
07-24 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.91$1.00