PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

moment123

0x4a4c8182fd09248ad0969a7a75ff9f411914af5e

Realised P&L
$-47.70
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$35.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by December 31? · Yes0.3550.560$11.20+$4.10
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? · Yes0.4800.515$10.30+$0.70
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes0.3900.185$3.70−$4.10
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? · Yes0.3480.305$3.28−$0.46
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · No0.5520.512$2.56−$0.20
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by November 30? · Yes0.1600.440$2.37+$1.51
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.2300.265$2.12+$0.28
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7? · No0.3800.011$0.15−$5.17
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3170.000$0.00−$1.50
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.4770.000$0.00−$1.50
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.1740.000$0.00−$1.50
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Alexander Bublik0.6170.000$0.00−$1.50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox · Los Angeles Angels0.8930.000$0.00−$1.50
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 · Under0.5270.000$0.00−$1.50
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5 · Over0.5180.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 11:13Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027?SELL0.11$2.20
10-30 11:13Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?SELL0.506$3.74
10-30 11:13Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules?SELL0.17$3.40
10-29 21:16Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.607$3.04
10-29 21:16Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?SELL0.671$26.84
10-29 21:16Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.5481989615$20.06
04-28 09:21Spread: Knicks (-6.5)BUY0.509999915$1.46
04-28 09:11Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?SELL0.62$1.41
04-28 07:19Hawks vs. KnicksSELL0.68$1.40
04-28 06:53Spread: Celtics (-11.5)BUY0.5199999029$1.46
04-28 05:29Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?SELL0.77$1.48
04-28 05:25Golden Knights vs. UtahSELL0.99$2.70
04-28 05:18Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)SELL0.99$2.98
04-28 05:11Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.838$1.51
04-28 05:08Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles DodgersSELL0.99$2.01