moment123
0x4a4c8182fd09248ad0969a7a75ff9f411914af5e
- Realised P&L
- $-47.70
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $35.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.54at 0.184Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders
- +$4.81at 0.235Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$2.66at 0.357Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
- +$2.37at 0.387Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
- +$2.01at 0.427Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 11:13 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-30 11:13 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.506 | $3.74 |
| 10-30 11:13 | Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-29 21:16 | Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.607 | $3.04 |
| 10-29 21:16 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.671 | $26.84 |
| 10-29 21:16 | Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5481989615 | $20.06 |
| 04-28 09:21 | Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.509999915 | $1.46 |
| 04-28 09:11 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.41 |
| 04-28 07:19 | Hawks vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.68 | $1.40 |
| 04-28 06:53 | Spread: Celtics (-11.5) | BUY | 0.5199999029 | $1.46 |
| 04-28 05:29 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.48 |
| 04-28 05:25 | Golden Knights vs. Utah | SELL | 0.99 | $2.70 |
| 04-28 05:18 | Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $2.98 |
| 04-28 05:11 | Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.838 | $1.51 |
| 04-28 05:08 | Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.99 | $2.01 |