Dolof
0x4a4c3f0a7ccb825c39075d2f992ee66bd9be4178
- Realised P&L
- $8.64
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $648.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.700 | $335.42 | −$114.58 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.195 | $107.44 | +$8.27 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.779 | 0.704 | $94.57 | −$10.09 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.180 | $77.04 | −$24.50 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.112 | $33.60 | +$5.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$451.60at 0.341Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Oct 18?
- +$168.05at 0.722Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.9 September 13?
- +$161.02at 0.745Nothing Ever Happens: November
- +$114.09at 0.807Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$80.49at 0.650Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:20 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.776 | $101.66 |
| 10-21 17:17 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? | BUY | 0.093 | $1.40 |
| 10-21 17:16 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? | BUY | 0.24 | $67.47 |
| 10-21 17:16 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | BUY | 0.18 | $99.18 |
| 10-21 17:15 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? | BUY | 0.23 | $27.14 |
| 08-23 21:02 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 08-23 21:00 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9391289057 | $450.00 |
| 05-23 23:03 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.75 | $35.16 |
| 05-23 23:01 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.58 | $27.18 |
| 05-23 22:53 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.32 | $30.00 |
| 03-21 23:25 | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.32 | $88.36 |
| 03-21 23:23 | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.25 | $3.43 |
| 03-21 21:01 | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.689999999 | $200.00 |
| 01-19 11:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6899999994 | $250.00 |
| 11-24 10:18 | Nothing Ever Happens: November | BUY | 0.7451002078 | $470.68 |