valeryiachernyshova
0x4a4655ffb20f1ad5bfe3d7711e1ab4574c7abe88
- Realised P&L
- $-190.68
- Volume
- $40.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $177.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.375 | $177.08 | −$224.36 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 10? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$169.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$276.01at 0.210Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?
- +$221.34at 0.234Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?
- +$48.73at 0.915Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
- +$37.28at 0.270Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21?
- +$6.00at 0.940Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-23 10:53 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8501298245 | $401.44 |
| 01-12 08:12 | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | BUY | 0.9147276987 | $522.72 |
| 01-12 08:11 | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $522.72 |
| 01-02 10:52 | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9479345758 | $532.80 |
| 12-22 05:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22? | SELL | 0.038 | $19.00 |
| 12-22 05:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 22? | SELL | 0.006 | $9.94 |
| 12-21 06:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22? | BUY | 0.0676636427 | $200.00 |
| 12-21 06:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 22? | BUY | 0.0599462906 | $204.62 |
| 12-20 14:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.01 |
| 12-17 16:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21? | SELL | 0.32 | $238.61 |
| 12-17 07:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21? | BUY | 0.2699999993 | $201.33 |
| 12-17 07:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21? | BUY | 0.2099999993 | $200.00 |
| 12-08 10:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10? | BUY | 0.2345803647 | $170.00 |
| 12-08 10:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 10? | BUY | 0.1899999993 | $169.15 |
| 12-08 10:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.98 | $339.15 |