0x4a45b079b0ef7ccc09cd23f3837427805c715931
0x4a45b079b0ef7ccc09cd23f3837427805c715931
- Realised P&L
- $15.09
- Volume
- $528.66
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $2.96
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.95at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$2.79at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?
- +$2.54at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23?
- +$2.43at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?
- +$2.38at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-22 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-22 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-22 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.918 | $4.59 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.913 | $4.57 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.385 | $1.93 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $4.64 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.948 | $4.74 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |