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Traders

0x4a45b079b0ef7ccc09cd23f3837427805c715931

0x4a45b079b0ef7ccc09cd23f3837427805c715931

Realised P&L
$15.09
Volume
$528.66
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$2.96

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.105$0.53+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.080$0.40$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.060$0.30$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 22? · Yes0.0910.058$0.29$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.045$0.23$0.23
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be less than 10,500,000? · Yes0.1000.044$0.22$0.28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0830.029$0.15$0.27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election? · Yes0.0830.025$0.12$0.29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 0%-10%? · Yes0.0830.021$0.11$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.021$0.11$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.020$0.10$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.018$0.09$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 23? · Yes0.0910.012$0.06$0.39
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0770.010$0.05$0.33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 5%-15%? · Yes0.0770.006$0.03$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.32$1.60
09-22 12:24Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 23?SELL0.35$1.75
09-22 12:24Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?SELL0.42$2.10
09-22 12:24Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?SELL0.58$2.90
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 14, 2026?SELL0.918$4.59
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 13, 2026?SELL0.91$4.55
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 15, 2026?SELL0.913$4.57
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?SELL0.385$1.93
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 24, 2026?SELL0.83$4.15
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 6, 2026?SELL0.98$4.90
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 3, 2026?SELL0.928$4.64
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 8, 2026?SELL0.948$4.74
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 23, 2026?SELL0.8$4.00
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on October 2, 2026?SELL0.978$4.89
09-22 10:50Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 30, 2026?SELL0.9$4.50
Trader 0x4a45b079b0ef7ccc09cd23f3837427805c715931 · PolyBot Pro