0xc938fejdifuiwfs
0x4a407ca9a2317ee6077bc2e8c699ef1cbab2ede7
- Realised P&L
- $24.2k
- Volume
- $84.6k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar28.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.991 | 0.995 | $530.62 | +$2.37 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · No | 0.967 | 0.998 | $519.96 | +$16.17 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5? · No | 0.413 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.40 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$588.73 |
| Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.35 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 38.5 million views on day 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5? · Yes | 0.373 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$227.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.5kat 0.306Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$2.6kat 0.291Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$1.3kat 0.449Will MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?
- +$1.2kat 0.479Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6?
- +$539.40at 0.757Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:48 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $71.83 |
| 09-22 05:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.9907937742 | $456.42 |
| 09-22 05:30 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $360.26 |
| 09-21 17:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.975 | $243.75 |
| 09-21 17:02 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.975 | $107.85 |
| 09-21 16:55 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 48 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $285.79 |
| 09-21 16:54 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 45 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $128.87 |
| 09-21 07:27 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9684520548 | $70.70 |
| 09-21 07:21 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 45 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.9797751938 | $126.39 |
| 09-21 04:49 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 48 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.9887518876 | $282.86 |
| 09-20 10:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.9889254118 | $106.86 |
| 09-20 10:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.9869585028 | $237.84 |
| 09-20 09:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9696466667 | $290.89 |
| 09-20 09:03 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9607972973 | $142.20 |
| 09-20 08:50 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.94 | $41.18 |