xsde334
0x4a3cc0b579297f7be76f28f8dd9a675db9327b68
- Realised P&L
- $284.60
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $24.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.961 | $19.79 | +$0.83 |
| Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.760 | 0.870 | $4.35 | +$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.72at 0.450Blues vs. Sabres
- +$1.34at 0.976Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?
- +$0.97at 0.964Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.81at 0.986Will Solana dip to $80 in July?
- +$0.48at 0.978Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 11:55 | Will Solana reach $180 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.67 |
| 02-22 11:54 | Will Solana reach $190 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.51 |
| 02-22 11:54 | Will Solana reach $200 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.35 |
| 02-22 11:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.15 |
| 02-22 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 11:53 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:52 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.9949996244 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 11:45 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999981 | $18.96 |
| 11-06 06:45 | Blues vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.45 | $227.22 |
| 09-28 07:41 | Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $58.35 |
| 08-31 07:34 | Will Solana reach $230 in August? | BUY | 0.994 | $58.00 |
| 03-29 08:14 | Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.43 |