PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xsde334

0x4a3cc0b579297f7be76f28f8dd9a675db9327b68

Realised P&L
$284.60
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$24.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.961$19.79+$0.83
Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7600.870$4.35+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-22 11:55Will Solana reach $180 in February?BUY0.999$1.67
02-22 11:54Will Solana reach $190 in February?BUY0.999$1.51
02-22 11:54Will Solana reach $200 in February?BUY0.999$2.35
02-22 11:54Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?BUY0.999$2.00
02-22 11:53Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?BUY0.999$2.00
02-22 11:53Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?BUY0.999$3.15
02-22 11:53Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-22 11:53Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.999$2.00
02-22 11:52Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.995$2.00
02-22 11:52Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.9949996244$2.00
02-22 11:45Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9199999981$18.96
11-06 06:45Blues vs. SabresBUY0.45$227.22
09-28 07:41Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.994$58.35
08-31 07:34Will Solana reach $230 in August?BUY0.994$58.00
03-29 08:14Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?BUY0.996$31.43