deebska - 7979
0x4a3beb266c0240f41a2e9f298eac472044512eb3
- Realised P&L
- $662.78
- Volume
- $291.1k
- Markets traded
- 719
- Open portfolio
- $13.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded719
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.846 | 0.887 | $6.6k | +$309.05 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.476 | 0.745 | $3.0k | +$1.1k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.760 | 0.805 | $2.5k | +$141.75 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.105 | $783.11 | −$195.76 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.785 | $349.21 | +$77.85 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.755 | $156.28 | −$1.03 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.340 | 0.515 | $24.72 | +$8.40 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.997 | 0.999 | $9.98 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.047Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.7kat 0.220Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
- +$1.6kat 0.197Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$886.79at 0.530Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)
- +$764.48at 0.510Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:18 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $70.68 |
| 08-04 15:18 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.1052171835 | $68.24 |
| 08-04 15:17 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $86.64 |
| 08-02 21:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $271.36 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 08-02 01:44 | Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.7527594655 | $209.26 |
| 08-02 01:44 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.8314896378 | $211.44 |
| 08-02 01:10 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.64 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 22:47 | Jeremy Peña: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 08-01 22:46 | Isaac Paredes: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $25.50 |
| 08-01 22:45 | Christian Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.18 | $25.20 |
| 08-01 16:36 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 04:33 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.96 | $420.00 |
| 08-01 04:10 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.779999999 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 02:46 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.44 | $117.85 |