ADRE510
0x4a3657833256fe81df9bf69b95788a48966af9ee
- Realised P&L
- $176.68
- Volume
- $37.1k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $34.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.950 | 0.967 | $34.30 | +$0.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? · No | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.40at 0.520Rangers vs. Blue Jackets
- +$3.54at 0.909Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.22at 0.926Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.71at 0.948Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.12at 0.940Will Solana reach $210 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $33.70 |
| 09-28 01:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.992 | $33.50 |
| 09-27 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9929999764 | $33.30 |
| 09-25 08:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999999 | $32.80 |
| 09-21 12:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9209999995 | $30.50 |
| 09-18 12:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $30.10 |
| 08-19 12:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $36.40 |
| 08-19 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.9951161248 | $36.30 |
| 08-18 02:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.90 |
| 08-17 03:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $35.50 |
| 08-16 04:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.10 |
| 08-15 08:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.80 |
| 08-14 03:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.9799999862 | $34.00 |
| 08-13 02:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9871031197 | $33.70 |
| 08-12 00:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.9879999998 | $33.40 |