PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Augustinef

0x4a3248fdfe91cdceaac030ce894c88ea7ce5311d

Realised P&L
$46.09
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$71.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? · Yes0.5201.000$52.00+$24.96
Spread: Patriots (-5.5) · Steelers0.5200.515$19.05$0.18
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs · Team Resilience0.4400.000$0.00$28.60
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Aurora Gaming0.3800.000$0.00$10.26
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$11.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:41Spread: Patriots (-5.5)BUY0.52$19.24
08-24 06:17Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?BUY0.52$27.04
08-17 07:07Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.38$10.26
08-04 07:12Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsBUY0.44$28.60
07-22 02:09Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group BBUY0.36$9.36
07-09 12:26UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.43$24.51
06-11 09:28Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on June 12?BUY0.999$17.00
06-11 09:27Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?BUY0.75$33.15
06-09 12:15Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?SELL0.998$28.96
06-09 12:15Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?BUY0.999$14.00
06-09 12:14Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?BUY0.999$15.00
05-23 08:23Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?BUY0.52$18.51
05-07 09:48Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?BUY0.21$11.55
04-07 12:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 8?BUY0.999$5.00
04-07 12:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 8?BUY0.999$6.00