PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

laisebr

0x4a2d21b4fc0183ef509796c78e3233bbf217ca62

Realised P&L
$-11.03
Volume
$240.69
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$4.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.530$1.63−$0.37
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.385$1.37−$0.48
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.155$1.06+$0.03
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.7800.000$0.00−$1.99
Sharks vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.6000.000$0.00−$2.21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$12.48
Spurs vs. Hornets · Spurs0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Nuggets0.5800.000$0.00−$1.05
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.3490.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.42
Rockets vs. Nuggets · Rockets0.3190.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 07:57Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999927$1.03
10-19 07:56Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$0.11
09-13 09:50Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
08-30 08:32Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999037$1.13
08-23 11:41Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
07-03 15:45Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.6499999565$2.24
06-30 16:00Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.72$1.89
06-27 17:42Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.5399999108$1.09
06-23 13:41Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.7$1.84
06-20 14:00Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6499998805$1.36
05-14 15:36Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.6299998617$1.64
05-07 13:57Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.7729998775$1.18
05-06 13:51Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4199998758$1.42
05-05 17:58Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.5399998565$1.58
03-14 08:16Sharks vs. CanadiensBUY0.5999999457$2.21