0x4a2caab7a17d3498050913642526ecb122c5596f
0x4a2caab7a17d3498050913642526ecb122c5596f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.75
- Volume
- $231.52
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $4.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.910 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.835 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No | 0.680 | 0.665 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.280 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.64at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.43at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
- +$2.75at 0.460Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.41at 0.422Blaublitz Akita vs. Tokushima Vortis: O/U 2.5
- +$1.41at 0.422Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:26 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:07 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:05 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7302914231 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:03 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:35 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:59 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:41 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:05 | Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:30 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:39 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:59 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:51 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |