BernardoBlanca
0x4a2b817c2e609e3cc053ab87c1d257911c48ebd7
- Realised P&L
- $67.34
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $6.80
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.043 | $6.80 | −$3.20 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.40at 0.499Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$25.16at 0.716Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$10.44at 0.698Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$9.52at 0.634US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.95at 0.805Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 22:09 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.0625210829 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 16:51 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1431781939 | $4.74 |
| 08-25 16:49 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1509999779 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:31 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.277 | $3.22 |
| 07-19 23:45 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.1570972321 | $2.21 |
| 07-16 01:07 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2129031713 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 01:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2579999579 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 00:59 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 02:34 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 02:34 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.9 | $12.68 |
| 07-01 02:27 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 02:25 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.71 | $63.82 |
| 07-01 02:06 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 06-28 22:46 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 02:23 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.97 | $7.27 |