0x4a265f2fc7d67642cfef1719f4af8c704b08b642
- Realised P&L
- $-11.96
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $37.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.234 | $23.59 | +$17.81 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.870 | 0.695 | $13.83 | −$3.48 |
| BNB Up or Down - September 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Down | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.73at 0.261Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Qualifier Playoffs
- +$10.88at 0.684Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 4.5
- +$9.48at 0.475Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
- +$8.62at 0.615Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- +$7.61at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:54 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.869999999 | $17.31 |
| 09-17 03:46 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.94 | $28.38 |
| 09-17 03:26 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.8099999964 | $24.46 |
| 09-17 03:25 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.941 | $19.87 |
| 09-17 02:38 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $15.84 |
| 09-17 02:27 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $25.60 |
| 09-17 01:53 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.7599999923 | $19.66 |
| 09-17 01:35 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | SELL | 0.11 | $0.91 |
| 09-17 01:22 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.2199999927 | $1.81 |
| 09-17 01:14 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.05 | $0.63 |
| 09-17 01:02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | SELL | 0.21 | $0.91 |
| 09-17 01:02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:15 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.4099999873 | $5.15 |
| 09-16 06:46 | BNB Up or Down - September 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 06:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $4.00 |