PolyBot

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Traders

Morcilla

0x4a24df59e20e563ddc0c8955d7f27fc99c7436dd

Realised P&L
$-306.70
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
592
Open portfolio
$9.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded592
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Italy (-2.5) · China PR0.7800.770$4.93$0.06
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.2600.255$4.90$0.10
AS Áris Thessaloníkis vs. GS Markó: AS Áris Thessaloníkis 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.3600.004$0.05$3.95
Spread: AGS Astéras Trípolis (-2.5) · GS Níki Vólou0.9720.001$0.01$24.99
Ljubljana: Alice Tubello vs Dalma Galfi · Dalma Galfi0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down0.0740.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.0670.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.0830.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.1030.000$0.00$3.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00$3.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.2540.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.0850.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.1710.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down0.6890.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSELL0.28$2.20
09-16 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSELL0.23$1.15
09-16 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-16 16:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.219999978$1.00
09-16 16:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSELL0.74$5.60
09-16 16:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.659999963$5.00
09-16 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-16 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.4499999438$2.00
09-16 16:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.4799999616$2.00
09-16 16:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSELL0.45$6.03
09-16 16:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-16 16:35Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.2599999896$5.00
09-16 16:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.5085252737$5.00
09-16 16:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSELL0.2$4.04
09-16 16:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.18$2.00