0x4a1ea331acbbc9a37e887872f434e14ea996f825
0x4a1ea331acbbc9a37e887872f434e14ea996f825
- Realised P&L
- $-117.20
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $24.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.36at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?
- +$20.30at 0.181Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9?
- +$13.38at 0.527Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23?
- +$10.18at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?
- +$8.82at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.7699999824 | $7.00 |
| 10-10 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.2906976744 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.3799999977 | $13.50 |
| 10-10 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1943198804 | $6.50 |
| 10-09 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.891 | $25.64 |
| 10-09 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0658715035 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0917740485 | $9.80 |
| 10-09 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.0715051841 | $7.50 |
| 10-09 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 10-09 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.1814106796 | $9.50 |
| 10-09 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0573260274 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.1737015807 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2822964376 | $11.25 |
| 10-02 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.061 | $0.92 |
| 10-01 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2196230556 | $7.91 |