PolyBot

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Traders

0x4a1ea331acbbc9a37e887872f434e14ea996f825

0x4a1ea331acbbc9a37e887872f434e14ea996f825

Realised P&L
$-117.20
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$24.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12? · Yes0.3800.330$11.72−$1.78
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 10? · No0.7700.700$6.36−$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 11? · Yes0.0920.021$2.24−$7.56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? · Yes0.1940.060$2.01−$4.49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 11? · Yes0.1300.015$0.72−$5.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11? · Yes0.0660.006$0.69−$6.31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 11? · Yes0.0710.004$0.42−$7.08
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 10? · Yes0.0570.001$0.05−$5.95
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 10? · Yes0.1810.001$0.03−$9.47
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10? · Yes0.2910.001$0.02−$9.98
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 22? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$11.64
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 2? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 21? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$1.12
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on September 22? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$2.43
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 21? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$10.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 15:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 10?BUY0.7699999824$7.00
10-10 13:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10?BUY0.2906976744$10.00
10-10 12:35Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?BUY0.3799999977$13.50
10-10 12:35Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.1943198804$6.50
10-09 20:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9?SELL0.891$25.64
10-09 17:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11?BUY0.0658715035$7.00
10-09 17:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 11?BUY0.0917740485$9.80
10-09 17:49Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 11?BUY0.0715051841$7.50
10-09 16:29Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 11?BUY0.13$6.50
10-09 16:29Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 10?BUY0.1814106796$9.50
10-09 16:29Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 10?BUY0.0573260274$6.00
10-09 16:04Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9?BUY0.1737015807$5.00
10-09 14:41Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.2822964376$11.25
10-02 14:26Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 2?BUY0.061$0.92
10-01 23:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.2196230556$7.91