SSM86
0x4a1e3e68c188d68f5bd7ac9692d836af0c8086d3
- Realised P&L
- $-62.8k
- Volume
- $3.94M
- Markets traded
- 1,465
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,465
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.9kat 0.390Bears vs. Vikings
- +$20.9kat 0.190Louisville vs. Miami
- +$16.3kat 0.364Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$13.3kat 0.200Nuggets vs. Thunder
- +$12.2kat 0.580Broncos vs. Chargers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 03:44 | Ladd McConkey: Receptions O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-26 03:43 | Ladd McConkey: Receptions O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $14.21 |
| 09-26 03:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $522.00 |
| 09-26 02:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 01:56 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.82 | $44.67 |
| 09-25 19:14 | Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Brute - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5294873333 | $238.27 |
| 09-25 18:58 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-25 16:46 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $289.70 |
| 09-25 16:46 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $895.18 |
| 09-25 14:10 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6791744992 | $1.1k |
| 09-25 12:32 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.45 | $311.44 |
| 09-25 12:27 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.44 | $9.29 |
| 09-25 05:25 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $24.89 |
| 09-25 05:22 | US x China tariff agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $43.13 |
| 09-25 04:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2376919 | $71.31 |