PolyBot

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Traders

0x4a1e2116eb48766add5b9a83c73b46f515495b16

0x4a1e2116eb48766add5b9a83c73b46f515495b16

Realised P&L
$-48.24
Volume
$52.7k
Markets traded
631
Open portfolio
$12.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded631
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.5430.265$12.21−$12.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) · Seattle Storm0.4600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 20? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$9.70
Vancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama · Kayla Day0.6100.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.75$3.00
10-06 16:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.554482893$20.00
10-06 15:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.4699999796$3.00
10-06 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.5599999851$3.00
10-06 15:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.835$8.35
10-06 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.6072998867$58.95
10-06 14:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5299999399$3.00
10-06 14:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.579999997$50.00
10-06 14:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-06 14:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSELL0.68$5.79
10-06 14:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSELL0.31$0.62
10-06 14:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4599999387$3.00
10-06 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.5199999792$3.00
10-06 14:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.4299999498$3.00
10-06 12:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSELL0.96$1.92