PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cryptopuppy

0x4a1cd6d63c60910bd90c4eff289b8ee80a23da2b

Realised P&L
$37.29
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$24.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027? · No0.8100.720$14.40$1.80
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes0.1650.145$8.72$1.17
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8000.084$0.96$8.16
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.6900.000$0.00$100.00
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$14.00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$2.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16? · No0.6380.000$0.00$40.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 3? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00$1.08
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 19? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00$4.60
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 06:51Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?SELL0.5$25.00
07-08 05:13Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?SELL0.52$3.64
06-30 05:20Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?SELL0.33$4.29
06-30 04:54FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?SELL0.14$3.50
06-29 20:07Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?SELL0.33$9.90
06-29 04:08Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?SELL0.03$0.28
06-29 04:05Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$7.42
06-29 03:41Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?SELL0.28$1.68
06-29 03:28Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?SELL0.27$1.35
06-29 03:27Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?SELL0.26$1.30
06-27 23:13Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?SELL0.26$2.60
06-27 05:21Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?SELL0.22$4.40
06-27 01:46Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?BUY0.0949725$3.80
06-27 01:46Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?BUY0.0733333333$1.10
06-27 01:44Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?BUY0.07$2.80