PM-HHYP-2
0x4a15636fa6d31e440156b44c829feb8b7c27f847
- Realised P&L
- $198.04
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 537
- Open portfolio
- $43.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded537
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.50at 0.745Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$33.48at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$24.99at 0.546Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$20.65at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$20.51at 0.703Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.24 |
| 08-08 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 08-07 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-07 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.4303625 | $3.44 |
| 08-07 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 08-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.7033333333 | $10.55 |
| 08-07 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-07 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-07 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 08-07 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-07 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.64 |
| 08-06 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-06 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-06 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |