PM-HHYP-2
0x4a15636fa6d31e440156b44c829feb8b7c27f847
- Realised P&L
- $117.86
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 902
- Open portfolio
- $42.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded902
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.50at 0.745Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$33.48at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$24.27at 0.559Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$20.50at 0.703Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$20.04at 0.714Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-26 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-26 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-26 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-26 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-26 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-26 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-26 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-26 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-26 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-26 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-26 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-25 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.19182 | $0.96 |
| 09-25 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |