TWFT
0x4a1322b0cafb7bbaba32b05eea2163165f942702
- Realised P&L
- $-206.06
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $54.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.95at 0.322Vikings vs. Bears
- +$31.52at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20?
- +$22.97at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?
- +$6.95at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.1945184695 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 01:54 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.0539999997 | $7.30 |
| 09-21 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.0833333333 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.1008589823 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 19:48 | Vikings vs. Bears | SELL | 0.9 | $83.94 |
| 09-20 18:05 | Vikings vs. Bears | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:33 | Vikings vs. Bears | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.8162147025 | $34.97 |
| 09-20 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.054165068 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 03:06 | James Madison vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 03:03 | James Madison vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.0528577145 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.25 | $34.74 |