0x4a114f896abd746464b28fa9f0f21b4e9daf9daa
0x4a114f896abd746464b28fa9f0f21b4e9daf9daa
- Realised P&L
- $-312.81
- Volume
- $85.1k
- Markets traded
- 848
- Open portfolio
- $17.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded848
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.084Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$284.91at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$258.60at 0.754Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$211.70at 0.988Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$162.22at 0.765Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 21:03 | Will Deportivo Maldonado win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.84 |
| 10-03 21:02 | Will Racing Louisville FC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 21:02 | BNB Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $11.35 |
| 10-03 21:02 | ZCash Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $2.97 |
| 10-03 20:58 | ZCash Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999597 | $2.56 |
| 10-03 20:58 | BNB Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 20:55 | UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SELL | 0.999 | $12.81 |
| 10-03 19:29 | Solana Up or Down - October 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999514 | $1.44 |
| 10-03 19:28 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 19:28 | Solana Up or Down - October 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 19:19 | XRP Up or Down - October 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.0139525692 | $0.18 |
| 10-03 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999953 | $7.92 |
| 10-03 19:18 | XRP Up or Down - October 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $2.44 |
| 10-03 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999736 | $8.34 |