0x4a0ba8efffe2a16b48b01f3fa5728ae0541a7a11
0x4a0ba8efffe2a16b48b01f3fa5728ae0541a7a11
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $291.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $15.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? · No | 0.987 | 0.987 | $10.0k | +$0.20 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October? · No | 0.940 | 0.980 | $5.2k | +$210.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.96at 0.986Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?
- +$352.65at 0.966Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$324.85at 0.903Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
- +$267.75at 0.974Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
- +$188.73at 0.982Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:37 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9825275016 | $10.0k |
| 10-04 07:47 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8939870586 | $3.0k |
| 10-02 09:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.0k |
| 10-02 09:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | BUY | 0.9869802604 | $10.0k |
| 09-20 09:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9823636898 | $10.0k |
| 09-11 01:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9818829243 | $10.0k |
| 09-11 01:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9799812971 | $10.0k |
| 09-11 01:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9798703671 | $10.0k |
| 09-06 00:30 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9692336463 | $5.0k |
| 09-04 11:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.9927405441 | $38.9k |
| 09-04 10:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.968 | $10.0k |
| 09-02 11:58 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.9785294401 | $10.0k |
| 08-30 05:55 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9857018996 | $10.0k |
| 08-27 01:20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9847473736 | $10.0k |
| 08-24 09:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.9829117509 | $10.0k |