0x4a0a09fd66fbe040242bdd442bf38b08799b69fe
- Realised P&L
- $36.21
- Volume
- $365.71
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $158.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 04:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.12 |
| 04-26 04:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.78 |
| 04-26 02:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.46 |
| 04-26 02:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.26 | $0.91 |
| 04-26 02:31 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.08 |
| 04-25 12:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.73 |
| 04-25 12:19 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.12 |
| 04-25 12:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.75 |
| 04-25 12:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.75 |
| 04-25 12:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.64 |
| 04-25 11:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.66 |
| 04-25 11:41 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.28 |
| 04-25 11:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.71 |
| 04-25 11:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.73 |
| 04-25 11:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.71 |