PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4a0a09fd66fbe040242bdd442bf38b08799b69fe

Realised P&L
$36.21
Volume
$365.71
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$158.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April? · Yes0.4861.000$109.57+$56.28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25? · Yes0.6871.000$23.76+$7.44
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · Yes0.8801.000$10.00+$1.20
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.5501.000$4.00+$1.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26? · Yes0.3971.000$3.72+$2.24
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.049$1.94$3.66
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.037$1.50$3.30
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6430.100$1.20$6.52
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.055$1.10$2.90
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.415$0.83$0.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.017$0.34$1.66
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.033$0.17$0.69
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 26? · Yes0.6540.000$0.00$3.22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25? · Yes0.3920.000$0.00$1.58
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$5.23

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-26 04:12Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?BUY0.46$2.12
04-26 04:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 26?BUY0.78$3.78
04-26 02:36Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?BUY0.44$2.46
04-26 02:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?BUY0.26$0.91
04-26 02:31MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.54$1.08
04-25 12:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.88$1.73
04-25 12:19MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.56$1.12
04-25 12:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.89$1.75
04-25 12:11Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.89$1.75
04-25 12:03Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.84$1.64
04-25 11:56Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.85$1.66
04-25 11:41Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$1.28
04-25 11:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.87$1.71
04-25 11:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.88$1.73
04-25 11:26Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?BUY0.87$1.71