0x4a093c2b5e303ebcee8a31c35197e594599829bd
0x4a093c2b5e303ebcee8a31c35197e594599829bd
- Realised P&L
- $17.16
- Volume
- $175.40
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $6.22
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.620 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.830 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.655 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.765 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.715 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.700 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.21at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$4.21at 0.237Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.430Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 06:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:08 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:33 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:58 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |