PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

casino

0x4a0777b5ffc0c67dad36367201962979ac2e50e7

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$371.5k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$81.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$287.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:32Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.025$250.00
05-08 12:16Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.097$970.00
04-10 09:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?SELL0.32$0.15
04-09 17:23Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?SELL0.57$199.48
04-04 20:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.51$76.44
04-04 20:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?BUY0.21$157.38
04-04 20:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?BUY0.18$151.37
03-17 09:34Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?SELL0.995$497.50
03-01 04:59Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.002$6.80
02-28 21:39Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.024$57.60
02-28 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
02-27 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSELL0.9909999998$99.10
02-26 18:21Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.23$6.97
02-26 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
02-26 18:17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSELL0.98$98.00