casino
0x4a0777b5ffc0c67dad36367201962979ac2e50e7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $371.5k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$287.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$923.31at 0.272Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$499.38at 0.046Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$447.80at 0.355Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$101.49at 0.280Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$96.10at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:32 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $250.00 |
| 05-08 12:16 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.097 | $970.00 |
| 04-10 09:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.15 |
| 04-09 17:23 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $199.48 |
| 04-04 20:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.51 | $76.44 |
| 04-04 20:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.21 | $157.38 |
| 04-04 20:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.18 | $151.37 |
| 03-17 09:34 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $497.50 |
| 03-01 04:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.80 |
| 02-28 21:39 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.024 | $57.60 |
| 02-28 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.9909999998 | $99.10 |
| 02-26 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $6.97 |
| 02-26 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $98.00 |