jasonxzp6
0x4a07203b6bae20d2bf6fff9a277f1bf69fd755d4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $432.0k
- Markets traded
- 378
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded378
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.329Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$1.8kat 0.237Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?
- +$1.5kat 0.194Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12PM ET
- +$928.14at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$805.50at 0.290Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 13:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.9k |
| 10-02 12:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $954.97 |
| 10-02 12:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 06:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | SELL | 0.0037585776 | $8.49 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $151.37 |
| 09-21 08:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599285714 | $503.90 |
| 09-21 08:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $108.80 |
| 09-18 09:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $201.42 |
| 09-17 12:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.43 | $46.30 |
| 09-17 12:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.43 | $120.40 |
| 09-17 10:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.51 | $405.45 |
| 07-27 10:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $9.52 |
| 07-26 05:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3316336277 | $85.62 |
| 07-19 21:16 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2824999989 | $110.00 |
| 07-19 14:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3793081452 | $43.86 |