PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jasonxzp6

0x4a07203b6bae20d2bf6fff9a277f1bf69fd755d4

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$432.0k
Markets traded
378
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded378
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3560.725$1.2k+$634.30
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.385$291.38+$140.01
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Bayern München? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.4170.000$0.00−$397.10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET · Down0.4520.000$0.00−$151.30
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET · Down0.4630.000$0.00−$100.00
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$60.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00−$54.60
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 6AM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00−$13.69
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET · Down0.3560.000$0.00−$500.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.3280.000$0.00−$600.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8AM ET · Down0.3270.000$0.00−$252.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 13:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.48$1.9k
10-02 12:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.25$954.97
10-02 12:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.25$10.00
09-30 06:48Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?SELL0.0037585776$8.49
09-21 08:34Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$151.37
09-21 08:33Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599285714$503.90
09-21 08:32Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.34$108.80
09-18 09:08Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.3$201.42
09-17 12:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.43$46.30
09-17 12:26Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.43$120.40
09-17 10:17Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.51$405.45
07-27 10:25Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.34$9.52
07-26 05:07Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.3316336277$85.62
07-19 21:16Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2824999989$110.00
07-19 14:39Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.3793081452$43.86