0x49fFd1fa074aB31242f9b8Fc0d466Cb1fc459817-1757965042504
0x49ffd1fa074ab31242f9b8fc0d466cb1fc459817
- Realised P&L
- $504.64
- Volume
- $102.1k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September? · No | 0.989 | 0.993 | $1.4k | +$5.30 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of September? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.995 | $7.96 | +$0.04 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of September? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.986 | $7.89 | −$0.03 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? · No | 0.990 | 0.984 | $4.92 | −$0.03 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$330 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.27at 0.875Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?
- +$186.80at 0.952Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?
- +$185.17at 0.768Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$136.67at 0.941Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?
- +$129.77at 0.925Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 02:53 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.87 |
| 09-03 02:45 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on September 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-03 02:45 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on September 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $7.19 |
| 09-03 02:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of September? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-03 02:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of September? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-03 02:40 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 09-03 02:40 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 09-03 02:40 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 09-03 02:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $301.95 |
| 09-03 02:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September? | BUY | 0.981 | $26.68 |
| 09-03 02:38 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-07 21:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? | BUY | 0.986 | $345.10 |
| 08-07 21:23 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 08-05 15:32 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $32.04 |
| 08-05 15:32 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.47 |