0x6c81185E8b7D4D7c4729FB4982CB9d79C7632854-1771841828299
0x49fa2a4b368f8e1eefd650bbd7ffe370b9f86bdd
- Realised P&L
- $-19.81
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $57.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.247 | $42.03 | −$17.97 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.289 | 0.193 | $6.66 | −$3.34 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.044 | $4.40 | −$5.60 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.065 | $4.05 | −$5.95 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Morocco (-5.5) · Morocco | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.202 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.13at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 07:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3459999893 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 07:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1603773564 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 07:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2889999927 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 07:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 07:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3539999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 10:20 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2025000084 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 07:34 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 11:44 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 11:44 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 12:32 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 11:58 | Spread: Morocco (-5.5) | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 13:02 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 12:18 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 12:17 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |