crazyoddslover
0x49f268b2bf6a036aecc080958cf7b1af5759506a
- Realised P&L
- $-569.4k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $46.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-36.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M25 Tamworth: Blake Ellis vs Benjamin O'Connell · Benjamin O'Connell | 0.250 | 0.305 | $27.5k | +$5.0k |
| Cali: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry · Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 0.540 | 0.545 | $18.6k | +$171.13 |
| Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis · Stefanos Sakellaridis | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.6k |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti · Gabriele Pennaforti | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.2k |
| Lisbon: Patrick Schoen vs Francisco Rocha · Francisco Rocha | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.7kat 0.681Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo
- +$-213.3kat 0.532Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
- +$-323.6kat 0.815Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 21:39 | Cali: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry | BUY | 0.54 | $18.5k |
| 10-21 21:36 | M25 Tamworth: Blake Ellis vs Benjamin O'Connell | BUY | 0.25 | $22.6k |
| 10-19 16:51 | Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis | BUY | 0.1513761041 | $325.61 |
| 10-18 14:31 | Lisbon: Patrick Schoen vs Francisco Rocha | BUY | 0.0999863149 | $30.1k |
| 10-18 14:30 | Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti | BUY | 0.0399972779 | $10.2k |
| 10-10 07:52 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BUY | 0.67 | $9.8k |
| 10-10 07:35 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BUY | 0.67 | $23.0k |
| 10-10 07:34 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 10-09 13:19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.52 | $17.5k |
| 10-09 13:18 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.5188950975 | $25.9k |
| 10-09 13:16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.5376198307 | $27.6k |
| 10-09 13:15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.502947707 | $43.7k |
| 10-09 13:15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.51 | $117.25 |
| 10-09 13:15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.5194169499 | $25.7k |
| 10-09 13:14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.5165672942 | $38.2k |