PolyBot

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Traders

Alvik0

0x49e399abab285724a7541fa90d92377861650fc9

Realised P&L
$-84.54
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$67.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3100.265$25.65$4.35
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.2500.395$15.80+$5.80
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1760.052$12.40$29.60
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1320.065$7.41$7.59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0230.015$5.74$3.26
Will Natus Vincere Win LEC Summer Split 2026? · Yes0.0410.001$0.06$4.94
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 13:54Will Natus Vincere Win LEC Summer Split 2026?BUY0.0409999998$5.00
09-17 13:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.91$5.17
09-17 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.8799998733$5.00
09-17 13:42Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.25$10.00
09-17 13:41Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.3099999986$30.00
09-14 00:12Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1315031427$15.00
09-13 22:57Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-13 21:16Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.0035826636$1.25
09-09 09:03Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.2699999978$16.87
09-09 08:54Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.1079999991$12.00
09-07 11:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.29$29.00
09-07 07:38Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?BUY0.0227272287$9.00
09-07 07:37Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3$30.00
09-07 07:29Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2169491525$32.00
09-07 07:27Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.2152641862$75.00