Alvik0
0x49e399abab285724a7541fa90d92377861650fc9
- Realised P&L
- $-84.54
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $67.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.265 | $25.65 | −$4.35 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No | 0.250 | 0.395 | $15.80 | +$5.80 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.052 | $12.40 | −$29.60 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.132 | 0.065 | $7.41 | −$7.59 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.015 | $5.74 | −$3.26 |
| Will Natus Vincere Win LEC Summer Split 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$4.94 |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.12at 0.278Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$0.10at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.300Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-76.16at 0.222Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:54 | Will Natus Vincere Win LEC Summer Split 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $5.17 |
| 09-17 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8799998733 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 13:42 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 13:41 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 00:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1315031427 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 22:57 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:16 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0035826636 | $1.25 |
| 09-09 09:03 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $16.87 |
| 09-09 08:54 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.1079999991 | $12.00 |
| 09-07 11:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 09-07 07:38 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0227272287 | $9.00 |
| 09-07 07:37 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-07 07:29 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2169491525 | $32.00 |
| 09-07 07:27 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2152641862 | $75.00 |