0x49e24e5ce49efb6e73fdb686705126fa66c852ba
- Realised P&L
- $-39.30
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,065
- Open portfolio
- $9.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,065
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.011 | $6.83 | +$2.08 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.022 | $2.53 | −$0.28 |
| Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.003 | $0.03 | −$4.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.60at 0.220Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
- +$16.57at 0.231Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$15.67at 0.241Will NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?
- +$15.31at 0.241Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
- +$14.72at 0.252Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 14:45 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $4.93 |
| 09-02 14:45 | Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | SELL | 0.935 | $4.94 |
| 09-02 14:45 | Nick Fuentes federally charged? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.97 |
| 09-02 14:44 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.942 | $4.95 |
| 09-02 14:43 | Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.953 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 14:42 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.67 | $5.01 |
| 09-02 14:41 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? | SELL | 0.34 | $4.64 |
| 09-02 14:41 | Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.97 |
| 08-20 04:29 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.31 | $3.05 |
| 08-18 01:23 | Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils | SELL | 0.19 | $2.33 |
| 08-17 17:15 | Will FK Spartak 1918 Varna win on 2026-08-17? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.37 |
| 08-17 17:00 | Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Theo Papamalamis | SELL | 0.28 | $2.34 |
| 08-17 11:17 | Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-08-17? | BUY | 0.7099999934 | $3.23 |
| 08-17 11:15 | Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-17? | BUY | 0.6599999864 | $4.86 |
| 08-17 10:53 | Kingston: Dan Martin vs Lautaro Midon | BUY | 0.78 | $4.90 |