Wzialem
0x49deef3d444a820ce004fe42cf84968672f5873c
- Realised P&L
- $-46.05
- Volume
- $308.2k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $64.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 5 - 2 AEK? · No | 0.990 | 0.991 | $9.88 | +$0.00 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.985 | 0.984 | $9.86 | −$0.01 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other · No | 0.996 | 0.999 | $8.24 | +$0.02 |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? · No | 0.977 | 0.978 | $7.36 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elvis Merzlikins record 4+ shutouts? · No | 0.960 | 0.945 | $6.58 | −$0.10 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $6.56 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20? · No | 0.984 | 0.955 | $5.89 | −$0.18 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.982 | $5.37 | +$0.23 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · No | 0.976 | 0.987 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.23 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) · Jaguars | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Spread: Lions (-9.5) · Commanders | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.13at 0.997Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?
- +$34.07at 0.540Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
- +$29.44at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
- +$20.00at 0.800Will Bologna win on 2025-09-14?
- +$14.10at 0.620ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:46 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 5 - 2 AEK? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.88 |
| 10-20 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.9839999987 | $6.07 |
| 10-12 20:54 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299999958 | $6.60 |
| 10-01 11:26 | Ramp IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9769999973 | $7.36 |
| 10-01 11:24 | Will Elvis Merzlikins record 4+ shutouts? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.68 |
| 08-28 17:13 | Will North Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.41 |
| 08-28 17:11 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9759999563 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 07:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 4? | BUY | 0.9759999563 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 07:52 | Will Tony Finau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 John Deere Classic? | BUY | 0.9699999974 | $7.42 |
| 05-20 16:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9729999996 | $15.00 |
| 05-20 16:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 12:17 | Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.01 |
| 04-09 12:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.996 | $8.22 |
| 03-21 15:05 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999963 | $5.14 |
| 03-13 16:01 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.9919999321 | $9.12 |