PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x49DDD5f43eCF83B5C887eA0553aC8c5281011A5a-1777131575900

0x49ddd5f43ecf83b5c887ea0553ac8c5281011a5a

Realised P&L
$-65.01
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? · Yes0.1250.095$1.52−$0.48
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by April 30? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$5.00
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "Michael" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$2.00
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$6.51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$18.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-25 17:38Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.169999993$18.50
04-25 17:37Starmer out by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
04-25 17:37Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
04-25 17:35Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.2699999163$1.91
04-25 17:35Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0414796477$5.00
04-25 17:32Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?BUY0.125$2.00
04-25 17:31Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.0398208064$2.00
04-25 17:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.014$5.00
04-25 17:29Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
04-25 17:29Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
04-25 17:27Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?BUY0.001$0.86
04-25 17:27Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.0155824557$2.00
04-25 17:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.035999983$2.00
04-25 17:23Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by April 30?BUY0.0470168908$2.00
04-25 17:17Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.002$1.00